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Red55
28821.2
403940.5
133417.6
Blue114
430827.4
368356.4
316123.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847520406010012014016055114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.52.5
45.142.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
blue by 15.9
56.43.9
40.244.1
Auto0.5
Teleop55.8
End0.0
Second
288
#20
21.21.5
13.712.2
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 6.2
4308
#12
27.43.9
25.829.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
1334
#28
17.62.5
26.624.0
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 5.9
3161
#17
23.43.9
13.016.9
Auto2.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0