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Red134
368356.4
494310.4
540656.0
Blue130
408316.2
403940.5
167645.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10192406080120140160180134130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.42.4
44.146.5
Auto0.5
Teleop55.8
End0.0
red by 10.7
45.61.7
40.642.3
Auto0.3
Teleop45.3
End0.0
Second
56.02.4
45.648.0
Auto0.1
Teleop55.9
End0.0
red by 15.5
40.52.6
42.545.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Third
4943
#27
10.42.4
13.415.8
Auto0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 5.9
4083
#24
16.21.7
13.615.3
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0