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Red130
316123.4
128529.0
467845.3
Blue46
461829.5
32925.2
293521.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806705010015020013046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.33.8
38.242.1
Auto10.8
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 15.8
4618
#10
29.51.0
23.722.6
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
29.02.5
25.628.1
Auto0.2
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 3.8
329
#18
25.21.0
17.516.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
3161
#17
23.43.8
16.920.7
Auto2.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 2.3
2935
#14
21.10.7
30.129.4
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0