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Red58
430827.4
86517.4
461719.1
Blue16
480712.6
270217.9
490718.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68520204060801001201401605816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4308
#12
27.40.3
29.729.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 8.5
4907
#21
18.93.1
20.417.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Second
4617
#15
19.10.3
21.621.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 1.1
2702
#22
17.93.1
22.319.2
Auto-1.9
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
865
#16
17.40.2
16.716.5
Auto1.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 4.7
4807
#25
12.63.1
13.510.3
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0