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Qual 452015 Waterloo Regional
Red33
28821.2
493917.4
124128.0
Blue20
494310.4
293521.1
571913.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57552040801001203320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#19
28.00.9
29.3→28.4
Auto0.5
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 6.8
2935
#14
21.11.3
29.4→28.1
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Second
288
#20
21.20.9
14.8→13.9
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 7.4
5719
#29
13.81.3
13.5→12.2
Auto0.7
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
4939
#23
17.40.9
13.5→12.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 7.0
4943
#27
10.41.9
15.8→13.9
Auto0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0