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Red207
461829.5
167645.6
1114108.8
Blue192
491739.6
316123.4
2056102.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168152100200250207192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.81.8
106.8108.6
Auto10.0
Teleop98.9
End0.0
red by 6.3
102.51.9
97.199.0
Auto8.7
Teleop93.8
End0.0
Second
45.61.8
41.243.0
Auto0.3
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 6.1
39.62.5
41.443.9
Auto0.7
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Third
4618
#10
29.52.4
23.626.0
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 6.1
3161
#17
23.42.5
21.724.2
Auto2.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0