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Qual 502015 Waterloo Regional
Red126
540656.0
515817.2
24421.2
Blue134
467845.3
32925.2
493917.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8567050100150126134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#3
56.02.7
48.9→51.6
Auto0.1
Teleop55.9
End0.0
red by 10.7
4678
#6
45.34.1
43.0→47.1
Auto10.8
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
244
#13
21.22.0
20.2→22.2
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 4.0
329
#18
25.24.1
16.8→20.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
5158
#26
17.22.7
16.3→19.0
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4939
#23
17.43.1
12.6→15.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0