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Qual 512015 Waterloo Regional
Red46
461719.1
430827.4
133417.6
Blue56
491739.6
403940.5
494310.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691030501502002504656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4308
#12
27.41.9
33.9→32.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
blue by 13.1
4039
#7
40.52.8
41.7→38.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
4617
#15
19.11.9
22.0→20.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 20.5
4917
#8
39.62.8
43.9→41.1
Auto0.7
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Third
1334
#28
17.61.9
20.8→18.9
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 7.2
4943
#27
10.42.8
16.2→13.4
Auto0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0