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Qual 522015 Waterloo Regional
Red58
24421.2
316123.4
167645.6
Blue26
515817.2
408316.2
293521.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925401502005826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#4
45.61.6
43.0→41.4
Auto0.3
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 24.5
2935
#14
21.11.8
25.0→23.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Second
3161
#17
23.41.9
24.2→22.3
Auto2.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 6.2
5158
#26
17.22.2
19.0→16.8
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
244
#13
21.21.6
22.2→20.7
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 5.0
4083
#24
16.21.8
17.6→15.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0