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Red56
130527.3
490718.9
540656.0
Blue136
430827.4
408316.2
1114108.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8116305010020025030056136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.01.9
53.551.6
Auto0.1
Teleop55.9
End0.0
blue by 52.9
108.81.0
108.7107.7
Auto10.0
Teleop98.9
End0.0
Second
1305
#11
27.31.7
23.021.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4308
#12
27.41.1
32.030.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
4907
#21
18.91.9
20.418.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 2.7
4083
#24
16.21.0
15.814.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0