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Qual 592015 Waterloo Regional
Red74
571913.8
461719.1
368356.4
Blue120
467845.3
167645.6
480712.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779505015020025030074120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#5
56.40.5
52.9→52.4
Auto0.5
Teleop55.8
End0.0
red by 10.7
1676
#4
45.61.2
41.4→42.6
Auto0.3
Teleop45.3
End0.0
Second
4617
#15
19.10.5
20.1→19.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 26.3
4678
#6
45.31.4
45.1→46.5
Auto10.8
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Third
5719
#29
13.80.4
9.8→9.3
Auto0.7
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 1.1
4807
#25
12.61.4
9.1→10.5
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0