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Red64
2167.5
515817.2
128529.0
Blue48
316123.4
270217.9
493917.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565402040801001206448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.7
30.831.5
Auto0.2
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 5.6
3161
#17
23.40.8
22.323.0
Auto2.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
5158
#26
17.20.8
16.817.6
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 0.7
2702
#22
17.90.8
20.020.7
Auto-1.9
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
216
#30
7.50.7
8.08.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 9.8
4939
#23
17.40.7
16.116.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0