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Red118
128529.0
494310.4
2056102.5
Blue154
28821.2
24421.2
368356.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15175050100200250118154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.51.3
101.6100.3
Auto8.7
Teleop93.8
End0.0
red by 46.2
56.43.2
52.455.7
Auto0.5
Teleop55.8
End0.0
Second
29.01.3
31.530.2
Auto0.2
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 7.8
244
#13
21.23.2
19.222.4
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
4943
#27
10.41.3
11.710.4
Auto0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 10.8
288
#20
21.23.2
18.021.2
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0