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Red58
515817.2
133417.6
461829.5
Blue97
124128.0
491739.6
461719.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598401001502005897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#10
29.50.4
30.430.1
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 10.1
39.60.7
38.939.6
Auto0.7
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Second
1334
#28
17.60.4
17.316.9
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 10.4
1241
#19
28.00.7
25.025.7
Auto0.5
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
5158
#26
17.20.4
17.617.2
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4617
#15
19.10.7
19.620.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0