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Red46
2167.5
133417.6
494310.4
Blue94
480712.6
430827.4
540656.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434340506070804694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
#28
17.60.6
21.522.1
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 38.4
56.04.1
17.121.2
Auto0.1
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Second
4943
#27
10.40.6
11.612.3
Auto0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 17.0
4308
#12
27.44.1
12.016.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
216
#30
7.50.4
11.411.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 5.1
4807
#25
12.64.1
15.419.5
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0