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Red29
493917.4
86517.4
408316.2
Blue92
24421.2
403940.5
128529.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21640501001502002992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#16
17.40.0
10.010.1
Auto1.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 23.1
40.54.7
30.835.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
4939
#23
17.40.0
8.98.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 11.7
29.03.1
13.016.1
Auto0.2
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Third
4083
#24
16.20.0
9.49.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 5.0
244
#13
21.22.8
16.118.9
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0