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Red128
461719.1
467845.3
491739.6
Blue132
571913.8
316123.4
2056102.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411170100150200250128132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.36.1
19.025.1
Auto10.8
Teleop34.5
End0.0
blue by 57.2
102.52.3
83.585.8
Auto8.7
Teleop93.8
End0.0
Second
39.66.1
20.526.6
Auto0.7
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 16.1
3161
#17
23.43.4
14.317.7
Auto2.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
4617
#15
19.16.1
15.221.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
5719
#29
13.82.3
11.613.8
Auto0.7
Teleop13.0
End0.0