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Red102
86527.5
77250.0
471619.7
Blue64
452532.7
490728.6
493615.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987005015020010264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#6
50.00.1
49.950.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop50.6
End0.0
red by 17.3
4525
#19
32.70.2
32.932.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Second
865
#10
27.50.1
27.427.5
Auto0.8
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 1.1
28.60.2
28.828.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
4716
#23
19.70.1
19.619.7
Auto0.5
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 4.7
4936
#20
15.00.3
15.315.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.7
End0.0