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Red134
368368.8
132555.4
21619.7
Blue136
295943.1
434331.8
502429.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1459150200250134136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.80.1
68.268.0
Auto2.9
Teleop65.9
End0.0
red by 25.7
2959
#15
43.10.6
42.543.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Second
55.40.1
54.854.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.5
End0.0
red by 23.6
4343
#11
31.80.6
31.231.8
Auto0.9
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
216
#22
19.70.1
19.119.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 9.9
5024
#16
29.60.7
28.929.6
Auto0.2
Teleop29.4
End0.0