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Red168
497628.9
285269.4
128527.7
Blue84
461830.8
494019.8
499230.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1316905010015020016884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.7
69.570.2
Auto0.5
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 38.6
4618
#28
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
28.90.7
28.929.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 1.7
4992
#21
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
1285
#34
27.70.7
27.828.5
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 8.0
19.80.0
19.719.8
Auto2.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0