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Red245
2056105.3
1114117.8
490318.4
Blue90
497628.9
285269.4
128527.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2561005015020030035024590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.80.1
117.6117.6
Auto10.1
Teleop107.7
End0.0
red by 48.3
69.40.6
70.169.4
Auto0.5
Teleop68.9
End0.0
Second
105.30.1
105.1105.1
Auto10.8
Teleop94.4
End0.0
red by 76.4
28.90.6
29.528.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
4903
#31
18.40.1
18.118.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 9.4
1285
#34
27.70.6
28.427.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0