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Red0
54839.8
493818.5
503316.7
Blue88
452532.7
471619.7
434331.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1575050100150200088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4938
#30
18.51.1
5.24.1
Auto0.4
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 14.2
4525
#19
32.71.0
32.833.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Second
5033
#40
16.71.1
12.611.5
Auto0.7
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 15.1
4343
#11
31.81.0
21.822.8
Auto0.9
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
5483
#45
9.81.1
7.06.0
Auto0.2
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 9.9
4716
#23
19.71.7
13.615.3
Auto0.5
Teleop19.2
End0.0