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Red80
494019.8
373910.2
497628.9
Blue44
481421.7
499230.6
503914.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364801001502002508044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.92.0
19.521.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 1.7
4992
#21
30.60.2
18.818.6
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
19.82.3
10.813.1
Auto2.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4814
#14
21.70.3
14.013.7
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
3739
#44
10.23.4
9.112.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 4.7
5039
#46
14.80.3
15.014.7
Auto0.9
Teleop13.9
End0.0