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Red26
461830.8
492112.6
24419.4
Blue46
21619.7
451930.0
493615.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54480204060801002646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#28
30.81.1
32.331.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 0.8
4519
#12
30.00.4
20.319.9
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
244
#24
19.41.1
17.316.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 0.3
216
#22
19.70.2
15.915.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
4921
#32
12.61.9
5.33.4
Auto0.7
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 2.4
4936
#20
15.00.4
14.714.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.7
End0.0