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Red10
493218.1
357110.1
128527.7
Blue43
540810.7
49206.4
86527.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433002060801001201043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#34
27.71.6
26.624.9
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 0.2
865
#10
27.50.5
18.118.6
Auto0.8
Teleop26.7
End0.0
Second
4932
#13
18.12.7
9.66.9
Auto1.5
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 7.3
5408
#48
10.70.8
8.08.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
3571
#36
10.11.6
6.14.5
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 3.7
4920
#47
6.40.8
7.07.8
Auto0.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0