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Red130
368368.8
28817.7
317516.7
Blue198
490728.6
2056105.3
132555.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73181050100150200250300350130198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.81.9
60.262.0
Auto2.9
Teleop65.9
End0.0
blue by 36.5
105.31.4
102.0103.4
Auto10.8
Teleop94.4
End0.0
Second
288
#41
17.71.9
20.422.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 37.7
55.41.4
45.346.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Third
3175
#43
16.71.9
12.314.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 11.9
28.61.4
23.124.5
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0