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Red36
317516.7
54839.8
494019.8
Blue80
542614.9
357110.1
461830.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40390102030506070803680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.2
14.514.3
Auto2.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 11.1
4618
#28
30.81.9
32.634.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
3175
#43
16.70.2
16.216.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 1.9
5426
#26
14.93.1
6.79.8
Auto0.8
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
5483
#45
9.80.3
8.78.4
Auto0.2
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 0.3
3571
#36
10.11.9
3.55.3
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0