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Red52
540810.7
451930.0
452532.7
Blue172
499230.6
77110.8
132555.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677905010015020025030035040052172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4525
#19
32.71.0
35.734.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 22.7
55.44.6
50.054.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Second
4519
#12
30.01.6
25.123.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4992
#21
30.64.6
21.325.9
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
5408
#48
10.71.6
10.99.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 0.1
771
#25
10.84.6
8.513.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0