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Red158
2056105.3
497628.9
493818.5
Blue28
295943.1
56896.8
528821.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14346010020015828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.31.3
101.2102.5
Auto10.8
Teleop94.4
End0.0
red by 62.2
2959
#15
43.11.7
39.537.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Second
28.91.3
23.825.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 7.9
5288
#17DQ
21.02.9
15.212.3
Auto1.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
4938
#30
18.52.1
7.69.7
Auto0.4
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 11.6
5689
#29
6.82.9
7.95.0
Auto0.9
Teleop5.9
End0.0