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Red76
435717.6
24419.4
368368.8
Blue14
49206.4
461713.9
54839.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101120501502007614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.80.7
63.362.5
Auto2.9
Teleop65.9
End0.0
red by 54.9
4617
#33
13.90.6
12.612.0
Auto1.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Second
244
#24
19.40.7
15.414.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 9.6
5483
#45
9.81.0
8.47.3
Auto0.2
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Third
4357
#27
17.61.2
12.211.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 11.2
4920
#47
6.41.0
5.64.6
Auto0.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0