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Red74
493218.1
490728.6
21619.7
Blue78
542614.9
285269.4
375617.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35940501502007478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.4
23.725.1
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 40.9
69.40.5
67.667.1
Auto0.5
Teleop68.9
End0.0
Second
216
#22
19.71.4
18.319.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 2.0
3756
#38
17.70.8
10.49.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
4932
#13
18.12.3
3.86.1
Auto1.5
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 3.2
5426
#26
14.90.8
9.89.0
Auto0.8
Teleop14.1
End0.0