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Red44
461830.8
503316.7
373910.2
Blue34
128527.7
359821.8
459515.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615402040801004434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#28
30.80.9
34.533.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 3.1
1285
#34
27.70.9
24.323.5
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
5033
#40
16.71.5
18.316.8
Auto0.7
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 5.1
3598
#35
21.80.9
20.319.5
Auto0.3
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
3739
#44
10.21.5
9.58.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4595
#18
15.71.4
12.411.0
Auto0.7
Teleop15.0
End0.0