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Red36
540810.7
459515.7
373910.2
Blue42
492112.6
490728.6
56896.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244501001502002503642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4595
#18
15.70.6
11.011.6
Auto0.7
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 12.9
28.60.3
25.125.4
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
5408
#48
10.70.6
9.39.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4921
#32
12.60.4
12.813.2
Auto0.7
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
3739
#44
10.20.6
8.08.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 3.3
5689
#29
6.80.4
5.05.4
Auto0.9
Teleop5.9
End0.0