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Red50
24419.4
49206.4
499230.6
Blue62
317516.7
359821.8
481421.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425001002003004005006007005062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#21
30.60.2
25.926.1
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 8.8
3598
#35
21.80.9
19.520.3
Auto0.3
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
244
#24
19.40.2
14.614.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4814
#14
21.71.4
16.417.8
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4920
#47
6.40.4
4.65.0
Auto0.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 10.3
3175
#43
16.70.9
15.015.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop17.3
End0.0