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Red108
357110.1
493818.5
285269.4
Blue68
318116.9
503316.7
435717.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions863305010015010868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.41.3
67.168.5
Auto0.5
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 51.9
4357
#27
17.62.1
11.013.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
4938
#30
18.52.2
9.712.0
Auto0.4
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 1.5
3181
#37
16.91.2
15.316.5
Auto-0.9
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
3571
#36
10.11.3
4.35.6
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 6.6
5033
#40
16.72.1
16.818.8
Auto0.7
Teleop16.0
End0.0