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Red110
375617.7
490318.4
132555.4
Blue56
461830.8
49238.6
54839.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7645010015020011056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.41.8
54.656.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.5
End0.0
red by 24.5
4618
#28
30.80.2
33.633.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
4903
#31
18.43.0
9.912.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 8.6
5483
#45
9.80.4
7.37.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Third
3756
#38
17.73.0
9.512.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 9.1
4923
#39
8.60.4
10.410.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.9
End0.0