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Red100
359821.8
528821.0
499230.6
Blue148
490728.6
77250.0
471619.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56850100150200250100148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#21
30.61.9
26.128.0
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 19.4
772
#6
50.03.2
43.046.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop50.6
End0.0
Second
3598
#35
21.81.9
20.322.2
Auto0.3
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 6.8
28.63.2
25.428.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
5288
#17
21.02.9
16.018.9
Auto1.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 1.3
4716
#23
19.75.0
15.220.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.2
End0.0