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Red30
56896.8
493615.0
28817.7
Blue60
21619.7
494019.8
503316.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465601001502002503003060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#41
17.71.0
22.321.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 2.1
19.80.2
18.819.0
Auto2.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
4936
#20
15.01.5
21.920.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 4.7
216
#22
19.70.2
18.518.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5689
#29
6.81.5
5.43.9
Auto0.9
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 9.9
5033
#40
16.70.3
18.819.1
Auto0.7
Teleop16.0
End0.0