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Red106
481421.7
435717.6
86527.5
Blue146
490318.4
368368.8
503914.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44980150200106146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#10
27.52.6
23.526.1
Auto0.8
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 41.3
68.82.7
65.868.5
Auto2.9
Teleop65.9
End0.0
Second
4814
#14
21.74.0
17.821.8
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 3.3
4903
#31
18.44.1
12.917.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
4357
#27
17.64.0
13.117.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 2.7
5039
#46
14.84.1
14.218.3
Auto0.9
Teleop13.9
End0.0