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Red91
373910.2
295943.1
493818.5
Blue62
461713.9
132555.4
461830.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4511201502002509162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#15
43.11.7
36.638.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop43.2
End0.0
blue by 12.3
55.42.2
56.454.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Second
4938
#30
18.52.6
12.014.6
Auto0.4
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 12.4
4618
#28
30.82.2
33.831.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Third
3739
#44
10.22.6
8.611.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 3.8
4617
#33
13.92.2
15.313.1
Auto1.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0