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Red75
490318.4
497628.9
558913.5
Blue35
77110.8
28817.7
359821.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55530204060801007535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.0
26.727.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 7.1
3598
#35
21.81.1
22.221.1
Auto0.3
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
4903
#31
18.41.5
17.018.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 0.7
288
#41
17.71.1
21.320.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
5589
#42
13.51.5
10.612.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 2.7
771
#25
10.81.1
13.512.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0