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Qual 72015 Windsor Essex Great Lakes Regional
Red0
56896.8
461713.9
452532.7
Blue19
317516.7
502429.6
503914.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623402080100120140160019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4525
#19
32.73.0
32.6→29.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 3.1
5024
#16
29.60.7
12.7→12.0
Auto0.2
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
4617
#33
13.92.7
19.1→16.3
Auto1.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 2.8
3175
#43
16.70.4
13.4→12.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Third
5689
#29
6.812.2
16.2→4.0
Auto0.9
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 8.0
5039
#46
14.80.7
13.8→13.1
Auto0.9
Teleop13.9
End0.0