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Red114
434331.8
558913.5
285269.4
Blue106
494019.8
2056105.3
492112.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84122050100150200250114106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.41.4
62.263.6
Auto0.5
Teleop68.9
End0.0
blue by 35.8
105.30.7
102.5101.8
Auto10.8
Teleop94.4
End0.0
Second
4343
#11
31.81.7
22.023.7
Auto0.9
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 12.0
19.81.0
10.49.4
Auto2.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
5589
#42
13.52.7
13.510.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 0.9
4921
#32
12.61.2
7.46.2
Auto0.7
Teleop11.9
End0.0