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Red110
255033.0
448852.1
20939.7
Blue102
154021.5
546823.2
151012.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99450150200250110102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.3
51.852.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 28.8
23.20.8
22.523.2
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
33.00.3
32.733.0
Auto0.2
Teleop32.8
End0.0
red by 11.5
1540
#19
21.50.8
20.721.5
Auto0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
2093
#31
9.70.3
9.59.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 2.8
1510
#27
12.50.8
11.712.5
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0