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Red90
255033.0
546823.2
371123.9
Blue16
263525.1
405116.2
15716.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32310204060801001209016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.05.2
9.414.6
Auto0.2
Teleop32.8
End0.0
red by 7.9
25.11.3
15.213.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Second
23.95.2
14.419.6
Auto0.1
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 7.7
4051
#10
16.21.3
12.811.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
23.25.2
9.314.6
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 16.3
1571
#29
6.91.3
4.12.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.0
End0.0