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Red12
404313.3
31928.8
31318.3
Blue4
154021.5
381217.7
24113.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174406080100120140160124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#15
13.30.8
8.67.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 8.2
1540
#19
21.52.6
14.311.6
Auto0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
3192
#24
8.80.8
7.06.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 8.9
3812
#11
17.72.6
19.116.5
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
3131
#26
8.30.8
6.65.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
2411
#30
3.12.6
8.25.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End0.0