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Red20
281111.0
545012.5
405116.2
Blue0
46626.8
20939.7
15716.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3311020406080100120140200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4051
#10
16.20.9
11.410.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 6.5
2093
#31
9.70.3
8.08.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Second
5450
#14
12.50.9
8.47.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 5.6
1571
#29
6.90.3
2.73.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.0
End0.0
Third
2811
#22
11.00.9
10.69.7
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 4.1
4662
#28
6.80.3
4.04.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0