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Red0
31318.3
25179.5
263525.1
Blue11
247131.4
20939.7
24113.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28370206080100120140011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.12.5
13.511.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.2
End0.0
blue by 6.3
31.42.2
23.521.3
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
2517
#23
9.52.5
11.18.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 0.2
2093
#31
9.72.2
8.36.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
3131
#26
8.32.5
5.73.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
2411
#30
3.12.2
5.53.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End0.0