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Red123
273316.1
448852.1
252124.4
Blue18
405116.2
154021.5
302412.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5725010015020012318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.15.7
36.442.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 30.6
1540
#19
21.51.1
11.610.5
Auto0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
24.45.7
11.817.6
Auto0.4
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 8.2
4051
#10
16.21.1
10.69.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
2733
#16
16.15.7
6.111.8
Auto0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 3.5
3024
#20
12.61.1
9.28.1
Auto0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0