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Red12
546823.2
151012.5
46927.8
Blue34
404313.3
95621.2
281111.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3526060801001201401234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.9
17.315.4
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 2.1
956
#8
21.20.5
10.811.3
Auto0.0
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
1510
#27
12.51.9
10.28.3
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4043
#15
13.30.5
7.88.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
4692
#18
7.81.9
7.65.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 3.1
2811
#22
11.00.5
9.710.2
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0